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Nasdaq is preparing to enter the “yes/no” contracts arena, a space popularized by prediction-market platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket but in a format designed for a traditional stock exchange.
The exchange has filed a proposed rule change with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to list binary, outcome-style options tied to the Nasdaq-100 and the Nasdaq-100 Micro Index, effectively letting traders take a simple “up/down” view on a defined index outcome by expiration.
How the yes/no contracts would work
The proposed “Outcome-Related Options” would trade between $0.01 and $1.00. In plain terms, the price works like a probability gauge: a higher price implies the market sees the “yes” outcome as more likely at expiry.
Nasdaq also wants to list contracts linked to the Nasdaq-100 Micro Index, described as 1% of the full index’s value, positioning the product as cheaper, smaller-size exposure that’s easier to use for day traders and short-term positioning.
Why it matters and what Nasdaq won’t offer
If the SEC approves the proposal, Nasdaq would be pushing “prediction-like” outcomes into a securities-regulated framework, a notable contrast to most event-contract style markets that sit in the orbit of the CFTC, and to platforms like Kalshi that emphasize regulated event contracts under that regime.
Just as important is the boundary Nasdaq is drawing: it is not proposing contracts on sports, politics, or cultural outcomes. The first wave is strictly limited to financial indexes, keeping the product inside the traditional derivatives lane rather than broad, consumer-style prediction markets.
Source: https://bookmaker-ratings.ru/news/fondovaya-birzha-nasdaq-planiruet-zapustit-analog-birzhi-prognozov/
